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    « Earn permission to respond | Main | Blogging will change your life »

    October 10, 2009

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    Interesting thought. Didn't the Bush administration (and I think this was widely attributed to Cheney) use a 2% likelihood as the threshold for whether they threw full resources into a potential threat? I think you need fairly substantial resources to pursue this, but interesting, nonetheless.

    Also, I think I'd express it like this:

    Projects come in waves (phases), and each wave will have Pareto's law (80/20) applied to it.

    If you work this right, you leave 20% on the table at the first wave (e.g. private beta), but come back and get 80% closer on each wave (as you add features, these typically start at zero).

    Three successive waves (e.g. private, then public beta and production rollout) should put you at something like 98% (assuming some added features).

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